- Fri Jan 21, 2011 12:00 am
#22970
Complete Question Explanation
Assumption. The correct answer choice is (B)
The scientists conclude that autistic children can benefit at an earlier age from the treatments available for autism, because the new test correctly diagnosed 100% of them when they were 18-months old, even though it gave 2 false positive diagnoses. Notice that the information about the false positives is mostly meant as a distraction, since diagnosing as autistic children who do not suffer from autism is irrelevant to a conclusion that autistic children can benefit from the treatments available. Of course, the more false positives there are, the less reliable the test will be — raising questions as to whether the test should ever be used as a reasonable basis for treatment decisions in the first place.
When analyzing the relationship between the premises and the conclusion, ask yourself if there is anything missing or wrong with this argument. Just because an autistic child is diagnosed at 18 months as such does not necessarily mean that he or she can benefit from the treatments already available. What if these treatments require advanced verbal or linguistic faculties to be effective? Indeed, the conclusion only follows if the treatments already available can work on 18-month old children, and only if the diagnostic test can provide a reasonable basis for the decision to treat. Answer choice (B) is therefore correct.
Answer choice (A): The first sentence in the stimulus explicitly states that the new test can, for the first time, accurately diagnose autism in children as young as 18 months old. Answer choice (A) can be inferred from this information, but is not required by it. This is a good example of the difference between Assumption and Must Be True questions: an assumption is a statement that precedes (or is required by) the conclusion; an inference is merely something that follows from it. This answer choice is incorrect.
Answer choice (B): This is the correct answer choice. The conclusion necessitates the possibility that such test can provide a reasonable basis for treatment decisions. Imagine if a diagnostic test that sometimes falsely gives a positive diagnosis could not provide a reasonable basis for treatment decisions? This would certainly weaken the scientists' argument. Therefore, answer choice (B) is correct.
Answer choice (C): This is one of the most attractive decoy answers in this question. At first glance, it appears that the ability of the new test to evaluate all children is required for the conclusion to be true. However, this answer choice goes too far. It is not necessary that the test can evaluate all children: do we need the ability to evaluate a 1-month old baby? A 1-day old baby? Certainly not. The assumption is that the new test can evaluate children as young as 18 months old, not any child in general. Always ensure that your assumption answer is minimalist and limited in scope to the conclusion at hand. An assumption answer that goes too far may be useful in strengthening the argument, but will not be necessarily required by it.
Answer choice (D): This is another attractive decoy answer, as it seemingly serves to dissuade the fears that the falsely diagnosed children will suffer no adverse side effects from being treated for autism. As discussed earlier, however, the well-being of children who do not suffer from autism is tangential to the focus of this argument and is not required by its conclusion, which is about autistic children alone. While answer choice (D) strengthens the argument by suggesting that the children incorrectly identified as autistic will not suffer from being treated for autism, the conclusion does not rely upon it. This answer choice is incorrect.
Answer choice (E): Whether we knew that autism could affect children so young is irrelevant to the argument. This answer choice is incorrect.
Assumption. The correct answer choice is (B)
The scientists conclude that autistic children can benefit at an earlier age from the treatments available for autism, because the new test correctly diagnosed 100% of them when they were 18-months old, even though it gave 2 false positive diagnoses. Notice that the information about the false positives is mostly meant as a distraction, since diagnosing as autistic children who do not suffer from autism is irrelevant to a conclusion that autistic children can benefit from the treatments available. Of course, the more false positives there are, the less reliable the test will be — raising questions as to whether the test should ever be used as a reasonable basis for treatment decisions in the first place.
When analyzing the relationship between the premises and the conclusion, ask yourself if there is anything missing or wrong with this argument. Just because an autistic child is diagnosed at 18 months as such does not necessarily mean that he or she can benefit from the treatments already available. What if these treatments require advanced verbal or linguistic faculties to be effective? Indeed, the conclusion only follows if the treatments already available can work on 18-month old children, and only if the diagnostic test can provide a reasonable basis for the decision to treat. Answer choice (B) is therefore correct.
Answer choice (A): The first sentence in the stimulus explicitly states that the new test can, for the first time, accurately diagnose autism in children as young as 18 months old. Answer choice (A) can be inferred from this information, but is not required by it. This is a good example of the difference between Assumption and Must Be True questions: an assumption is a statement that precedes (or is required by) the conclusion; an inference is merely something that follows from it. This answer choice is incorrect.
Answer choice (B): This is the correct answer choice. The conclusion necessitates the possibility that such test can provide a reasonable basis for treatment decisions. Imagine if a diagnostic test that sometimes falsely gives a positive diagnosis could not provide a reasonable basis for treatment decisions? This would certainly weaken the scientists' argument. Therefore, answer choice (B) is correct.
Answer choice (C): This is one of the most attractive decoy answers in this question. At first glance, it appears that the ability of the new test to evaluate all children is required for the conclusion to be true. However, this answer choice goes too far. It is not necessary that the test can evaluate all children: do we need the ability to evaluate a 1-month old baby? A 1-day old baby? Certainly not. The assumption is that the new test can evaluate children as young as 18 months old, not any child in general. Always ensure that your assumption answer is minimalist and limited in scope to the conclusion at hand. An assumption answer that goes too far may be useful in strengthening the argument, but will not be necessarily required by it.
Answer choice (D): This is another attractive decoy answer, as it seemingly serves to dissuade the fears that the falsely diagnosed children will suffer no adverse side effects from being treated for autism. As discussed earlier, however, the well-being of children who do not suffer from autism is tangential to the focus of this argument and is not required by its conclusion, which is about autistic children alone. While answer choice (D) strengthens the argument by suggesting that the children incorrectly identified as autistic will not suffer from being treated for autism, the conclusion does not rely upon it. This answer choice is incorrect.
Answer choice (E): Whether we knew that autism could affect children so young is irrelevant to the argument. This answer choice is incorrect.