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#36686
Complete Question Explanation

Parallel Reasoning—CE. The correct answer choice is (D)

Test takers who can quickly and appropriately identify common methods of reasoning will tend to do
very well on Parallel Reasoning questions. The first step in classifying any argument is to identify the
conclusion. Here, the conclusion is, “Taking advanced mathematics courses should increase a student’s
grade point average.” The basis for this conclusion is the observation that students who take advanced
math classes tend to have higher grade point averages than students who do not take such courses. Of
course, the correlation between advanced mathematics courses and high grade point averages does
not necessarily mean that taking such courses will increase a student’s grade point average; this is a
mistaken attribution of causality. Being intelligent may cause some students to take advanced math
courses and have a high grade point average. That is, intelligence could be the cause for both the courses
taken by a student and the student’s grade point average (thus advanced courses and GPA would be
unrelated from a causal standpoint, as they would both be effects of a common cause). Less intelligent
students who take advanced mathematics courses would likely even decrease their grade point averages.

So, how can this stimulus be used to prephrase characteristics of the correct answer choice? First, the
conclusion of the stimulus must be paralleled by the conclusion of the correct answer choice. The
correct conclusion should be a prediction, rather than a statement of fact. It should indicate that taking
some action should yield a certain result. Furthermore, this action must be based on evidence that it (the
action) is positively correlated to the result. Finally, the correct answer choice must be flawed in the
same manner as the stimulus. So any valid argument is automatically incorrect, as is any argument not
based on a mistaken attribution of causality.

Answer choice (A): The conclusion of this argument is a statement of fact and does not parallel the
conclusion of the stimulus. Additionally, this argument is not logically flawed, since the stated evidence
does suggest that fur color is in large measure hereditary. Since neither the conclusion nor the validity of
this argument matches the stimulus, answer choice (A) is incorrect.

Answer choice (B): The claim that water can cause intoxication is certainly a mistaken attribution
of causality. However, there is no prediction (e.g. “Drinking more water should lead to increased
intoxication”). Also, the conclusion is not based on evidence that the amount of water consumed is
positively linked to the degree of intoxication. It is simply based on the fact that water is present in
several solutions of alcoholic beverages.

Answer choice (C): Here, the conclusion is a less of a prediction (“something is likely to happen”)
than a mere possibility (“these two things may be related”). Further, is the attribution of causality
mistaken? Probably not. This argument seems reasonably well supported, unlike that of the stimulus,
which is clearly invalid. Also, the evidence here is structured differently than the evidence in the
stimulus. This evidence focuses solely on overweight people who eat diets consisting primarily of fats
and carbohydrates, rather than comparing those who eat such diets with those who do not. The correct
answer must match the stimulus much more closely.

Answer choice (D): This is the correct answer choice. This answer contains a prediction and incorrect
causality. There is a positive correlation (given as a prediction) between the number of shoes a person
owns and the frequency with which they exercise. Also, the causality here is most likely reversed, as it
is rather more likely that exercising frequently causes a person to buy new shoes more frequently than it
is that owning two or more pairs of running shoes causes a person to start exercising more often. So this
answer matches the stimulus in its conclusion, its logical validity, and its use of evidence.

Answer choice (E): Test takers should quickly determine that this answer has the correct type of
conclusion (the word “should” appears in the conclusion of the stimulus and the conclusion of this
answer choice). The type of evidence used here is also quite similar to that used in the stimulus.
However, like answer choices (A) and (C), this reasoning seems valid. Whether or not the conclusion of
this argument is in fact true, it is at least a logical interpretation of the evidence. Thus, answer choice (E)
can also be eliminated.
 jcough346
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#30159
Hi Powerscore, for this question I recognized the flaw as mistaking correlation for cause and effect but am stumped over why B is wrong. Is this an issue of comparative evidence? Or am I just totally off altogether?
 Adam Tyson
PowerScore Staff
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#30172
Not totally off, James! The fact that you are recognizing the causal nature of this argument already gets you most of the way home, so nice job there.

For any parallel reasoning question, including parallel flaw questions like this one, we can sometimes approach them in a very straightforward manner, comparing the essential elements of the stimulus to the elements of any contender answer choice.

In this case, you are off to a perfect start - you recognized causal reasoning in the stimulus, and so you know the credited answer has to also have a causal argument, and it also has to have a flaw. Sadly that's not much help here, because all of the answers are causal, and all causal arguments are flawed.

Another key element is going to be the conclusion. What sort of language was used? Did the author qualify his conclusion in any way? That's going to be a big help here, because our stimulus concludes that taking math classes should increase gpa - we have clear language indicating not that something will or may happen, but that it should (sounds like probability or expectation to me). Our answer should have similar language, a similar strengths to it, and that's where answer B fails. Instead of probability/expectation, answer B comes in much weaker, with just a mere possibility - water can cause intoxication.

Only answers D and E match that level of prediction - should - and E ends up backing it up with an analysis that goes beyond mere correlation. Also, D and the stimulus should inspire in you a similar reaction - maybe they got the cause and effect backwards? Maybe it's the high gpa that leads to advanced math, and maybe it's exercising that leads to buying running shoes?

By being a bit fussy about matching the strength and type of language you can often eliminate multiple loser answers and quickly narrow down your search for the credited response. Sometimes that approach gets you to just one contender, which is a rare and beautiful treat. Give it a try with your next few parallel reasoning questions and see if it helps out.

Keep up the good work!

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