- Fri May 18, 2012 8:00 am
#4130
Hi jredelma,
None of the EA programs you're considering are binding; therefore, it is unlikely that you would receive a true EA "boost" from applying via any of them. EA programs only really give you a boost when the program is binding--outside of that, the only real advantage to a non-binding EA program is the fact that you're submitting your apps early (which is always great and does give you somewhat of an edge, but doesn't give you a huge advantage over the other candidates), when there are more seats available and fewer students vying for them.
The primary problem I see with your question is that you're making a lot of assumptions about where your GPA and LSAT score will be; this makes it very hard to give you a concrete idea of your chances. If you're currently PTing at 165, it is a big leap to assume that you'll officially test at 170; students usually drop a few points from their PTs when they take the official test. In addition, you're assuming you will get a 4.0 in the fall, which will boost your GPA to 3.41--again, though, you're projecting results out of potential outcomes.
Working with the numbers you have on hand (GPA - 3.31, LSAT - 165), I would say that your chances of getting into the three Texas schools you are applying to via EA are:
UTexas: 10-15%
SMU: 40-50%
Houston: 70-80%
Were you to increase your GPA to a 3.41 and your LSAT to a 170, it would pretty much seal up your chances at Houston, bump your chances at SMU to 75-80%, and increase your probability at Texas to around a 30%, regardless of EA or not. Texas will be a tough nut to crack, given that they have a limit on the percentage of out-of-state students they can matriculate (35%) and their ranking.
Given that the boost you would receive from a higher GPA and a higher LSAT would, in all likelihood, be greater than the boost you would receive from applying via a non-binding EA program, my suggestion would be to wait until your fall grades have come in to apply. However, if you see that your fall grades are not going to be that 4.0 which you are projecting, go ahead and apply via EA--then you'll get the EA boost, even if not the higher GPA boost.
Hope that helps! Good luck!
Anne Chaconas
PowerScore Test Preparation