- Thu May 27, 2021 1:50 pm
#87381
Kells,
Answer choice (C) definitely weakens the argument. I'll illustrate. I just looked up information about the distribution of ages throughout the world. Apparently, according to Wikipedia, in the United Arab Emirates, only 1.1% of the entire population is 65 or older. Alzheimer's is so rare among people under 65 that I found it very difficult to even get numbers. So, without knowing anything else that what I just told you, I'd predict that the United Arab Emirates has a very low incidence of Alzheimer's. If I could find anything that people in the UAE do more than people in other countries, I could make the claim that that activity is correlated with a decreased risk of Alzheimer's. It looks like there's a deeper connection between that country is doing and Alzheimer's, but that's only true because the UAE has a young population.
So, what if India also has a relatively low proportion of people 65 or older? Then that would do a lot to explain the low incidence of Alzheimer's, not their consumption of turmeric. And that's what answer choice (C) is telling me.
For answer choice (E), you pointed out that it's compatible with the answer that curry consumption and low incidence of Alzheimer's are not perfectly correlated. True, but the answer choice tightens the connection. The answer choice allows room for the conclusion to be false, but the amount of room for the conclusion to be false isn't expanded. It's been contracted. The fact that answer choice (E) allows the conclusion to be false doesn't mean it weakens it - the conclusion now has LESS of a way to be wrong, not more. And, for a Strengthen question, all we have to do is make the argument's conclusion more likely to some degree.
Robert Carroll