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 KelseyWoods
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#14262
Complete Question Explanation

Assumption-#%. The correct answer choice is (C)

This is a Numbers and Percentages question, and a true classic LSAT LR question. The president concludes that since the company gives out their awards to the top third of the sales force, then if the number of people getting awards has declined over fifteen years, then the number of people not getting awards has declined as well.

Answer choice (A): Answers A and E look similar to C, but there are important differences. Answer choice A is not actually about the number of people who receive the sales awards, so it seems unlikely that it is an assumption in the president's argument that the number of people passed over for awards has gone down. Instead, (A) is about hiring standards, which could easily translate into the idea that Wilson's is hiring less qualified workers. But that has no effect on the awards being given out, and this is not an assumption of the argument.

If you're ever torn between a couple answer choices on Assumption questions, you can always resort to using the Assumption Negation Technique. In this case, negating answer choice A does not disprove the president's argument. Even if hiring policies are more lax, the number of people passed over for awards could have gone down.

Answer choice (B): This answer would actually go against the president's argument. If the number of salespeople has increased over the past fifteen years but they still give awards to the top third of salespeople, then it would be the case that both the number of salespeople receiving the awards would have increased as would the number of salespeople NOT receiving the awards.

Answer choice (C): This is the correct answer choice. If (C) is correct and we assume that the company has used the same criterion for giving out the awards for the the past fifteen years, then the president's conclusion makes sense. If you are giving out awards to a specific proportion of your group and the number of awards given out goes down, then the total number of people in your group must have gone down as well.

Think about it this way. Let's say that 15 years ago, they had 99 salespeople working for them. If they gave awards to the top third, then 33 salespeople received awards and 66 salespeople did not. If this year we give out fewer awards than we gave out 15 years ago but we still give out awards to the top third of our sales force, our total sales force must have decreased. In other words, let's say we only gave out 20 awards this year. Twenty is one third of 60. So that would mean that this year 20 salespeople received awards and 40 did not. Therefore, the president's conclusion follows--the number of people not receiving awards has declined as well (40 vs. 66).

Now let's apply the Assumption Negation technique to answer choice (C) and see what happens. To negate (C), we would say that the criterion for handing out awards has changed over the last 15 years. If the criterion has not always been based on a proportion of the salesforce, then we can't necessarily conclude that the number of people not receiving awards has declined.

What if 15 years ago, instead of giving awards to the top third, they gave awards to everyone who sold $100,000 worth of merchandise? Let's assume again that 15 years ago there were 99 salespeople working at the department store. If 65 people sold $100,000 worth of merchandise that year, then 65 salespeople would have received awards and 34 would not have. If that were the case, then the number of people not receiving awards would actually have increased over the past fifteen years (from 34 to 40). This would directly contradict the president's conclusion.

Since the negation of answer choice (C) attacks the president's conclusion, then it is an assumption necessary for the argument. It operates as a Defender Assumption—it eliminates a possible source of attack.

Answer choice (D): This answer is about the sales figures—the amount of sales generated by each sales person. The argument is about awards based on those sales, and so this is about a different topic.

Answer choice (E): This is about the calculation of sales figures instead of the criteria for the awards. Even if we negate (E) and assume that sales figures were calculated differently, the company could still be giving awards to the top third of salespeople. The fact that the awards may go to different people if a different sales calculation is used does not affect the president's argument that the total number of people getting passed over has gone down.
 reop6780
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#12619
Negation was the key to solve this assumption problem! Thank you!
 Jkjones3789
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#15365
Hello, for this assumption question I was a little lost. I just got back into seriously studying after taking the course. I was going to go with B since I thought it was a numbers and percentages situation but it isn't. Thank you !
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 KelseyWoods
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#15368
Hi Jkjones!

This stimulus definitely presents us with a Numbers and Percentages situation. We know that the number of salespeople receiving the awards at Wilson's Department Store has declined. The president of the company tells us that the awards are given to salespeople in the top third of the sales force and that, therefore, the number of people not getting awards has also declined. We are looking for an assumption of his conclusion that the number of people NOT getting awards has declined.

Answer choice (B) would actually go against the president's argument. If the number of salespeople has increased over the past fifteen years but they give awards to the top third of salespeople, then it would be the case that both the number of salespeople receiving the awards would have increased as would the number of salespeople NOT receiving the awards.

Answer choice (C) is the correct answer here. If Wilson's criterion for selecting award recipients (top third of sales force) has remained the same for the past fifteen years, then it would follow that the number of people receiving the awards would go down as well as the number of people NOT receiving the awards.

Try the Assumption Negation Technique out on answer choice (C). If I say that the criterion has changed, that would attack my argument. What if for 14 years, the criterion was the top half of the sales force and it was only in the last year that the criterion was changed to the top third. In that case, it might be the case that the number of people receiving the awards has declined and the number of people NOT receiving the awards has actually gone up. Since negating answer choice (C) would attack the argument, that is our correct answer.

If you use the Assumption Negation Technique on answer choice (B), the answer choice would read "The number of salespeople at Wilson's has decreased over the past fifteen years." If the total number of salespeople has decreased, that would support the argument that the number of salespeople passed over for the awards has declined as well as the number of people receiving the awards. When we negate an assumption, we want it to attack our argument. When we negate answer choice (B), it supports our argument, so it is incorrect.

Hope this helps!

Best,
Kelsey
 Oscarg104
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#57954
Hi,

Isn't this a Justify the conclusion question, and not an assumption question? Thus, the negation technique would not apply. Please clarify this, thanks!
 Rachael Wilkenfeld
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#60903
Hi Oscar,

It can be really tricky to distinguish between assumption questions and justify the conclusion questions. I can see where you thought this one might be a justify because it uses the language "allows to be properly drawn." But it doesn't have any indication of sufficient condition. There's no "if true" or "if assumed" or similar language to indicate we are talking about a justify question. Remember the key difference between justify and assumption questions is that justify questions are asking for a sufficient assumption. If we don't have that sufficient language in the question stem, it's unlikely to be a justify stem.

Hope that helps!
Rachael
 Isaiah4110
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#67655
I’m still struggling with how A is incorrect.

According to the stimulus, the number of salespeople receiving these awards has declined markedly over the past 15 years; and the criterion for receiving the awards now is the top third of the sales force. If answer choice A is not true, such that the company did hire more people over the years, then wouldn’t the number of people not receiving the awards would have increased instead of declined?

Year: 2004 vs 2019
# Received the award: 100 vs 50
# of sales force: 120 vs 150
——————————————————————
# not receiving the award 20 vs 100

20 to 100 is an increase not a decrease.
 Adam Tyson
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#68471
Interesting analysis, Isaiah4110, but it looks like you are making an unwarranted assumption of your own in the process when you said "such that the company did hire more people over the years." You appear to have assumed that "more lax hiring policies" means "hired more people" and "resulted in a larger sales force at the end of the year." Neither of those is necessarily true. Lax policies might mean they were less careful about how they filled open positions, but it wouldn't require that they hire more people, because they might have a limited number of positions open at any one time. They might even be hiring fewer people, but are being less particular about who they do hire, like "hey, we just got an opening in the sporting goods department - hire the next person who comes through the door who has a pulse and doesn't smell bad."

Also, the awards are at the end of the year, not rolling throughout the year. So even if they hired more people, if those people only lasted a short while before quitting or being fired, then they wouldn't be "passed over" at the end of the year - they simply wouldn't be part of the sales force when it came time for those awards to be handed out! The sales force could still have shrunk despite the hiring policies getting more lax along the way.

Be careful about bringing in outside information or making assumptions of your own when analyzing these arguments and answer choices. In this case, we need the answer to stand on its own, with no help from us and based solely on what we read in the stimulus.
 ncolicci11
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#73782
Powerscore,

I am a little stuck trying to decide the conclusion of this stimulus so I can move forward with making the assumption. If I am not mistaken, is it that that the number of salespeople receiving these awards has declined markedly over the past fifteen years?

If so, could you explain why the correct answer is C?

Thank you!
 Jeremy Press
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#73789
Hi ncolicci,

Good (and important) question here!

Notice how the question stem wants you to zero in on the company president's conclusion? Go to the portion of the stimulus where the company president is speaking, which is the argument in quotation marks at the very end of the stimulus. In that quoted portion of the stimulus, the president begins with a premise, marked off by the premise indicator word "since." The premise continues all the way up to the comma. After the comma we find the conclusion, which is the statement that "we can also say that the number of salespeople passed over for these awards has similarly declined." As a side note, this is a very common way that arguments are structured on the LSAT: "Since this premise is true, here's a conclusion that must be true."

Answer choice C validates the conclusion that the number of salespeople passed over for the award (in other words, the number of salespeople who haven't received the award) has declined over the past fifteen years, by saying the criterion for receiving the award (being in the top third of the sales force) has stayed the same for the last fifteen years.

Imagine that 15 years ago, the sales force of the company was 1,200 people. That would mean 400 people (the top third of 1,200) received the award, and 800 people were passed over for the award.

Now imagine that at the present time, there are only 200 people receiving the award (a marked decline from the 400 who received it 15 years ago). If the criterion for receiving the award is still that the top third of the sales force receives the award, this means there are now only 600 people in the total sales force, and only 400 people are passed over for the award. This validates the conclusion that there has been a decline in the number of people who are being passed over (400 now versus 800 back then).

I hope this helps!

Jeremy

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