- Fri Dec 27, 2019 6:42 pm
#72856
Hi thecmancan! You've touched on several points in your post. Let me start with your last paragraph. For this question, we are essentially being asked to Weaken Tina's argument. For Weaken questions, we absolutely do not need to judge which answer choice is the most likely to occur. The only thing we're considering is which answer choice would serve to drive a wedge between the premises and the conclusion of an argument. Weaken questions can be tricky enough as is - don't make them harder by worrying about which answer choices are actually realistic!
With that initial point out of the way, let's walk through how to approach this problem. With all Weaken questions, we want to first identify the conclusion, then identify the premises, and then note any gaps between the conclusion and the premises. We start by identifying the conclusion. Here, that's Tina's assertion that "they [paper cups] are a worse choice [than plastic cups]". She is responding to Mark's argument that paper cups are better. Second, we identify the premises. Tina's argument has four premises: 1) A study done 5 years ago showed that the production of paper cups exhausted more natural resources than the production of foam cups, 2) Transporting paper cups uses more energy, 3) Paper mills produce water pollution, and 4) The decay of paper cups produces harmful methane. Next, we look for gaps between the conclusion and the premises. Do the premises lead us 100% logically to the conclusion? Or is there some gap between where the premises lead us, and what the conclusion actually says?
Here, Tina's conclusion (that paper cups are a worse choice than plastic cups) seems to have very strong support from her premises. But do her premises unquestionably get us to her conclusion? Not necessarily. There are a few gaps between her premises and her conclusion.
Gap 1. Her premises only deal with environmental factors, but her conclusion goes beyond environmentalism in scope. In other words, her conclusion doesn't just say "paper cups are worse for the environment than plastic cups", it goes ahead and says "paper cups are just straight up worse than plastic cups, full stop". This conclusion is too broad. A hypothetical answer choice that could exploit this gap would say something like, "Despite the environmental harms of paper cups, a multitude of other factors including financial considerations and consumer preferences make paper cups the better choice".
Gap 2. Her first premise relies on a study. Almost anytime a study pops up on the LSAT, it's open to attack. Maybe the sample was biased or too small. Maybe the study was carried out poorly. Maybe the study is out of date. Polls, studies...drawing conclusions from a sample is always inherently limited (just look at election polls!), and so when one pops up in an LSAT question, be aware of those limitations. Here, the study is five years old. A hypothetical answer choice could point that out, and indeed that is exactly what the correct answer choice ends up doing!
(Since you mentioned it wasn't super clear to you how Answer Choice (C) weakened Tina's argument, let's use your Coke vs. Pepsi theme to show another basic example of what Answer Choice (C) is doing. Here's an argument I just made up: "A study from 1997 showed that a Coke can contains roughly five times as much aspartame as a Pepsi can. Too much aspartame can cause brain cancer. Therefore Pepsi is better for your health than Coke." Obviously you can poke many holes in that argument, but one big gap it makes a conclusion about what's better for your health today, by relying on a study that's 22 years old! A good answer choice that would Weaken that argument would be something like, "In the years since that study, Coke has drastically reduced the amount of aspartame in its product to be similar to the amount in Pepsi". That weakens the argument because it makes the premises about aspartame irrelevant to the argument's conclusion.)
Gap 3. Her premises don't really dispute Mark's points. Styrene is still bad, and plastic-foam persisting forever in the environment is also still bad. So the possibility exists that even though everything Tina said is true, Mark's points are so powerful that they outweigh what she's saying. A hypothetical answer choice like, "Styrene is 100 times worse than methane for the environment" could exploit this gap.
We're looking for Mark to respond in one of these ways, since they Weaken Tina's argument by taking advantage of its gaps. Answer Choice (C) successfully does so, by emphasizing that the information cited by the study in her first premise is outdated and that the production process for paper cups has changed. This weakens her argument because the information contained in her first premise is no longer relevant to her conclusion.
That's sort of a formulaic run-down of how to approach this problem.
A couple additional points addressing some of your specific concerns. First, about your Pre-Phrase. Neither Mark nor Tina at any point address financial production costs. But both of them do address the environmental costs of production. So I'm not quite sure what your Pre-Phrase is referring to, but it's not a good way to Weaken Tina's argument. Again, we are focusing on the gaps between Tina's premises and her conclusion and how they can be exploited.
And lastly - Answer Choice (A) doesn't do what we want here, because it only strengthens Tina's argument (by pointing out additional environmental costs of producing paper).
Hope that helps! Feel free to follow up with any more specific questions, and make sure to look back at the section on Weaken problems in the LSAT Course books if you find yourself having trouble with these.