- Mon Oct 04, 2021 12:54 pm
#91004
This question struck me as the most difficult question of the entire LSAT 91, and one of the more challenging RC questions of the "modern" LSAT (tests 70+ or so), so I can't resist giving my take on it.
First of all, it's crucial to recognize that this is a straight-up LR question transplanted to RC. As such, your LR intuitions should be kicking in, and these intuitions should lead you to note that on tricky "which would most strengthen" LR questions, it's not enough to simply find an answer that could ostensibly strengthen the argument; you have to choose the answer that most strengthens, and sometimes that means dispatching an answer choice that does, in fact, seem to strengthen the argument.
With that in mind, let's move on to the answer choices. (A), (B), and (C) are clearly dumb, so let's get down to (D) and (E):
(D) struck me as a definite strengthener upon first read. If DNA-DNA advances are made, then that will probably favor the "splitters," which means more species are likely to be recognized. And even though this answer doesn't directly address increasing the number of endangered species, which is a definite drawback, any mathematician/statistician worth his salt would tell you that increasing the absolute number of species, given each species has a nonzero chance of being endangered, will likely increase the number of species considered "endangered."
But if you step back and think about it in the context of the author's statement, you'll realize that the author's statement is CONDITIONAL upon an increase in the number of species, so all this answer choice really does is make it MORE LIKELY that the number of species will increase, but doesn't speak to the number of endangered species increasing. You can't strength an argument that is conditional up a certain thing happening by saying "that certain thing is more likely to happen." So all that nonsense about mathematician/statisticians is just one big unsubstantiated assumption that doesn't help the argument within the context of this answer choice.
Not to mention the weak language ("IF advances are made"..."will PROBABLY favor the splitters..."), plus the lack of a specific mention of endangered species, left me feeling quite disturbed by this answer, so I moved onto (E) with an open mind.
(E) definitely does the trick, but you have to understand how to properly manipulate causal statements to get there. It wasn't immediately clear to me what effect this "less likely to contest" statement had, so I flipped it: splitters are more likely to contest a species classification if some of the species in question are endangered. And that, as opposed to (D) with its weak language and non-mention of endangered species, is a slam dunk strengthener: species that are endangered are more likely to be split into further species if splitters have their way (which they presumably would if species are increasing), thus increasing the number of endangered species overall.
One final note: I think another tricky aspect of this question is reading precisely that we're trying to strengthen the notion that an increase in species generally will lead to an increase in the number of species classified as endangered, not an increase in the overall number of individual organisms being classified as endangered. That misunderstanding could lead you discard (E), because surely the number of organisms recognized as endangered wouldn't necessarily increase just because you split an endangered species into several different species. But alas, that's not the point we're trying to strengthen.
Lots of trickery with this question.