- Fri Oct 21, 2022 11:31 am
#97928
queenbee,
The example you brought up is contradicted by answer choice (A) itself, though. That's what answer choice (A) does - it shows that the meteorologist's station isn't just more accurate in forecasting rain because they forecast rain more rarely than other stations, and get it right in those few cases where they bother to forecast. No, they forecast rain more often. So if they're right most of the time they forecast rain, and they forecast rain more often, there's a larger number of days that they're right in. It can't just be that, for instance, they forecast rain ONCE per year, maybe exactly when there's a hurricane coming, and they're right that one time. Instead, they forecast rain more often than other stations, and are correct in most of those forecasts. Answer choice (A) does all that and removes the "forecast rarely, get it right" possibility.
There's no need to "guarantee" more accurate results when they forecast rain more often - the stimulus already has a premise where are right most of the time they forecast rain.
I don't see how answer choice (C) strengthens the argument that the meteorologist's station has more useful and reliable weather forecasts.
Robert Carroll